After the 70% first-year realization you set.
Business case
Enter the figures you already have
The ledger prints on one page.

conservative scenario · retention
Year one
Licence fees plus the one-time setup entered below.
-35% return on the program cost.
How long these figures take to cover the cost.
Assumptions
The rollout and price being considered.
The conservative hard-cost anchor.
Recovery and manager-time assumptions, counted in the full scenario.
Room and distribution assumptions behind the reputation scenario.
Assumption ledger
| Input | Value | Provenance | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Properties | 1 | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Rooms | 100 | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Guest-facing staff | 60 | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Staff included | 80 % | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Annual price per learner | 180 | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| One-time setup | 3,500 | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Year-one realization | 70 % | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Annual attrition | 40 % | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Average salary | 25,000 | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Replacement cost | 45 % salary | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Attrition reduction | 8 % | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Escalated incidents per month | 12 | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Average recovery cost | 90 | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Incident reduction | 10 % | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Manager hours per month | 16 | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Manager hourly cost | 40 | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Manager-time reduction | 10 % | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Occupancy | 72 % | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Average daily rate | 200 | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Variable cost per occupied room | 45 | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| OTA share | 35 % | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Direct share | 50 % | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Other share | 15 % | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| OTA commission | 18 % | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Direct booking cost | 10 | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Other booking cost | 6 | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| Occupancy uplift | 1 pts | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| ADR uplift | 1 % | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |
| OTA-share reduction | 1 pts | scenario assumption | Starting assumption |